Back to all posts

Your Backlog Is a Lie You're Telling Yourself

You wear your six-month backlog like a badge. But half of it is work you can't build profitably. The pipeline isn't proof of success—it's proof you're afraid to be selective.

Your Backlog Is a Lie You're Telling Yourself

You call it a backlog. You say you're booked solid. Six months out, maybe eight. You tell people you're turning work down.

And you wear it like a badge.

But here's what you're not saying: half that backlog is work you can't build. Not profitably. Not with the people you have. Not without bleeding cash for three months before the client pays.

You're counting jobs you haven't estimated properly. Projects where the scope is still fuzzy but you shook hands anyway. Work you took because you were afraid to say no, afraid the phone would stop ringing, afraid that if you don't stay busy something bad will happen.

So you stack it up. You point to the pipeline. You tell your spouse, your banker, your guys—we're busy.

But busy isn't the same as profitable. Busy isn't the same as sustainable.

Why the Backlog Feels Like Safety

The backlog isn't just a list of jobs. It's emotional armor.

It's proof you're in demand. Proof you're not failing. Proof that when someone asks how business is, you can say "great" and mean it.

It's also insurance against fear. The fear that if you slow down, if you say no, if you're selective—the phone will stop ringing. The work will dry up. And you'll be exposed as the fraud you worry you might be.

So you keep stacking. Even when you know better. Even when your gut tells you this job will be a problem. Even when the margin is thin and the client is already pushing before you've signed anything.

You stack because the alternative—an empty calendar, even for a week—feels like failure.

And in construction, failure isn't abstract. It's payroll you can't make. Trucks you can't fuel. A reputation you can't rebuild.

The backlog becomes your security blanket. The thing you point to when the anxiety kicks in at 3 a.m.

What Your Backlog Actually Tells an Investor

Let me be blunt.

If I'm looking at your business as a potential buyer, your backlog doesn't impress me. It scares me.

Because I know what you know but won't admit: half of it is fantasy.

I see jobs you've committed to without proper estimates. Projects where you and the client have different understandings of scope. Work you took at margins that barely cover overhead because you were afraid to walk away.

I see a pipeline that's going to create chaos in four months. Jobs that will bleed cash because you didn't account for payment terms. Projects that will require overtime and weekend work just to keep your promises.

I see an owner managing anxiety, not a business.

Here's the truth most people avoid: a bloated backlog isn't a sign of strength. It's a sign of poor selectivity. It's a sign you're running on fear instead of discipline.

An investor wants to see a backlog of work you can deliver profitably, with the people you have, without destroying your life.

They want to see that you know how to say no. That you understand capacity. That you're building a business, not feeding a machine that runs you.

Your six-month backlog? It's not an asset. It's a liability you're calling success.

The Reality of Running the Numbers

Deep down, you already know this.

You know that in four months you'll be scrambling to staff these jobs. Realizing the margins are thinner than you thought. Discovering that the client expectations don't match what you agreed to.

You'll be working Saturdays to make up for the fact that you sold work you can't deliver. You'll be pulling guys off one job to save another. You'll be having conversations with your spouse about why you're never home even though "business is great."

And the worst part? You'll do it again.

Because the backlog is your drug. It quiets the fear, at least temporarily. It's the metric you use to tell yourself you're winning, even when your cash account and your stress level say otherwise.

But here's what happens when you run the numbers:

You realize that three of those six jobs should never have been sold. Two more need to be repriced or the scope needs to shrink. And one will be fine, but only if you start it four months later than you promised.

You realize that your "six-month backlog" is a two-month backlog of profitable work and four months of problems you're pretending don't exist.

You realize that the pipeline you're so proud of is the source of most of your stress.

The Discipline You're Avoiding

The hard truth: you need to kill half your backlog.

Not literally. But you need to audit it with the same ruthlessness you'd apply to anything else bleeding cash.

You need to ask:

  • Can we build this profitably with the people we have?
  • Do we have a real estimate or just a handshake and a prayer?
  • Is the scope clear, or are we guessing?
  • Will the client pay on terms that don't destroy our cash flow?
  • Do we want this work, or are we just afraid to say no?

And then you need to do something most contractors never do: clean it up.

Reopen conversations with clients. Reprice jobs. Push start dates. Walk away from work that doesn't make sense.

This feels dangerous. It feels like you're throwing away opportunity. It feels like you're shrinking when you should be growing.

But what you're doing is building a business instead of just feeding a machine.

You're being selective. You're protecting capacity. You're ensuring that the work you commit to can be delivered profitably, without destroying your life.

And here's what happens when you do this: you get your weekends back. Your cash flow stabilizes. Your team stops feeling like they're always scrambling. Your stress drops.

Not because you're doing less work. Because you're doing the right work.

Bring This to Your Leadership Meeting

The Question (forces alignment):
"Which three jobs in our backlog are we keeping alive out of fear instead of strategy?"

The Prompt (forces clarity):
"Go through the backlog line by line. For each job, answer: Do we have a real estimate? Is the scope clear? Can we staff it profitably? If the answer to any of these is no, why is it still in the pipeline?"

The Action (forces ownership):
"By Friday, [Name] will identify two jobs in the backlog that need to be repriced, rescheduled, or walked away from—and will schedule the client conversations required to make that happen."

The Real Measure of Success

Your backlog isn't your strength. It's your weakness pretending to be confidence.

The real measure of success isn't how many months out you're booked. It's how much of that backlog is work you can deliver profitably, with the people you have, without working Saturdays for the next six months.

It's whether you're running a business or managing anxiety.

It's whether you're being selective or just afraid to slow down.

You don't need a six-month backlog. You need a six-week backlog of work that makes sense. Work you want to do. Work you can deliver. Work that builds value instead of just keeping you busy.

That's harder. It requires discipline. It requires the courage to say no. It requires you to confront the fear that if you're not constantly stacking work, something bad will happen.

But it's also the only path to building a business that doesn't eat your life.

Peace isn't found in a bloated pipeline. It's found in clarity about what you're building and why.

The backlog can wait. The question is: can you?

Get Your Leadership Email

Enter your email to view the leadership prompts and action items for this article.

I send one short note each week to help you bring this into your leadership meeting and turn it into action.